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Strengthening Operational Resilience in the Philippine Bank of Communications
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[OR] [PBCOM] [E3] [CBS] [1] [ST] Perform Scenario Testing

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Scenario testing is the practical validation of a bank's ability to continue delivering its critical business services within defined impact tolerances during disruption.

BCM Institute defines scenario testing as the structured execution of severe but plausible scenarios to assess resilience capabilities, identify weaknesses, and improve response and recovery effectiveness.

It goes beyond documentation by simulating real-world disruptions across people, process, technology, and third-party dependencies.

For The Philippine Bank of Communications (PBCom), this aligns with the expectations of Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas under BSP Circular No. 1203 Series of 2024, which requires banks to conduct scenario testing of critical operations, assess their ability to remain within impact tolerance, and incorporate cyber and ICT risks into these tests.

BSP emphasises that testing should include extreme but plausible disruptions, validate recovery strategies, and produce evidence of continuous improvement.

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Moh Heng Goh
Operational Resilience Certified Planner-Specialist-Expert

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Introduction

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[OR] [PBCOM] [E3] [CBS] [1] [ST] Perform Scenario Testing

Scenario testing is the practical validation of a bank's ability to continue delivering its critical business services within defined impact tolerances during disruption.

BCM Institute defines scenario testing as the structured execution of severe but plausible scenarios to assess resilience capabilities, identify weaknesses, and improve response and recovery effectiveness.

It goes beyond documentation by simulating real-world disruptions across people, process, technology, and third-party dependencies.

For The Philippine Bank of Communications (PBCom), this aligns with the expectations of Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas under BSP Circular No. 1203 Series of 2024, which requires banks to conduct scenario testing of critical operations, assess their ability to remain within impact tolerance, and incorporate cyber and ICT risks into these tests.

BSP emphasises that testing should include extreme but plausible disruptions, validate recovery strategies, and produce evidence of continuous improvement.

Banner [Table] [OR] [E3] Perform Scenario Testing

Table P6: Perform Scenario Testing for CBS-1  

Sub-CBS Code

Sub-CBS

Recommended Scenario Test Themes

Impact / Effect

Evidence of Proactive Risk Management Action

1.1

Customer Onboarding and Account Application

Branch denial-of-access (typhoon/earthquake) + digital onboarding surge test

Backlog in account opening; shift to digital channels

Test results showing digital onboarding capacity scaling and alternate branch routing procedures

1.2

Customer Identification and Verification (KYC/CDD)

KYC system outage + cyber compromise of screening engine

Inability to verify customers; compliance risk

Evidence of fallback manual KYC process and alternate screening provider activation logs

1.3

Account Approval and Opening

Core banking workflow failure simulation

Delayed account activation

Documented manual approval workflow execution and recovery time validation

1.4

Initial Funding and Deposit Booking

Payment clearing disruption + delayed posting scenario

Funds not credited on time; customer complaints

Test logs showing use of suspense accounts and successful deferred posting reconciliation

1.5

Product Setup and Account Parameter Maintenance

Failed system change deployment (configuration error test)

Incorrect fees/interest applied

Change rollback test results and validation controls evidence

1.6

Deposit Transactions Processing

Core banking outage + ransomware simulation

Transaction halt; severe customer impact

DR activation reports, transaction replay logs, and recovery time within tolerance

1.7

Withdrawal and Funds Access Processing

ATM network outage + cash shortage scenario

Customers are unable to withdraw funds

Evidence of alternate cash access procedures and branch contingency activation

1.8

Account Servicing and Customer Maintenance

CRM system outage + data sync failure test

Inability to process service requests

Manual servicing records and successful batch update reconciliation post-recovery

1.9

Interest, Fees, and Charges Processing

End-of-day batch failure simulation

Incorrect or delayed charges

Re-run batch logs and adjustment tracking reports

1.10

Statement, Passbook, and Balance Reporting

Reporting system outage + data unavailability

Customers cannot access statements

Evidence of alternate inquiry channels and report regeneration capability

1.11

Digital Account Access Enablement

Telecom outage + OTP failure scenario

Customers unable to log in

Test results showing alternate authentication (e.g., backup OTP or branch-assisted access)

1.12

ATM and Card-Based Access Management

Card network failure + cyber breach simulation

Card transactions fail; widespread disruption

Evidence of switching to alternate networks and emergency card controls

1.13

Account Reconciliation and Exception Handling

Delayed data feeds + reconciliation system failure

Unresolved breaks; inaccurate balances

Manual reconciliation logs and backlog clearance within defined thresholds

1.14

Dormancy, Holds, and Account Restrictions Management

Unauthorised access simulation (privileged account misuse)

Incorrect account restrictions applied

Audit trail validation and dual-authorisation control test results

1.15

Fraud Monitoring and Transaction Surveillance

Advanced fraud attack simulation bypassing rules

Undetected fraud; financial loss

Evidence of enhanced monitoring rules, real-time alert escalation, and manual blocking actions

1.16

Complaints, Disputes, and Service Recovery

Surge in complaints during the system outage scenario

Delayed response; reputational damage

Call centre surge capacity activation reports and prioritisation logs

1.17

Regulatory Reporting and Compliance Monitoring

Data corruption + reporting deadline stress test

Delayed or incorrect regulatory submission

Backup reporting templates and regulator communication evidence

1.18

Business Continuity and Service Recovery

Combined cyberattack + natural disaster (compound scenario test)

Enterprise-wide disruption across CBS

Full crisis management activation reports, DR test results, and recovery sequencing validation

 

 

Integration of Cyber and ICT Risks (Embedded Across Scenarios)

All scenario tests above inherently integrate cyber and ICT risks, as required by BSP Circular 1203. Examples include:

  • Core banking outages and ransomware attacks affecting transaction processing (1.6)
  • Telecommunications and authentication failures impacting digital access (1.11)
  • Third-party network and card system disruptions affecting ATM/card services (1.12)
  • Data corruption and system compromise affecting reporting and reconciliation (1.13, 1.17)
  • Cyber-enabled fraud attacks testing detection and response capabilities (1.15)

This integration ensures that PBCom’s resilience testing reflects the increasing convergence of operational and cyber risks.

 

Regulatory Requirements and Examples (BSP Circular 1203)

Under BSP Circular No. 1203 Series of 2024, banks are required to:

  • Conduct scenario testing using severe but plausible scenarios
  • Assess whether critical services remain within impact tolerance
  • Include cyber and ICT disruptions, third-party failures, and natural disasters
  • Use testing outcomes to identify vulnerabilities and implement improvements
  • Ensure board oversight and documentation of results

Examples applicable to CBS-1 include:

  • A “Big One” earthquake disrupting branch operations and staff availability
  • A system-wide cyberattack or ransomware incident affecting multiple banks
  • A failure of a key third-party provider, such as telecom or payment networks
  • A payment system disruption affecting fund transfers and deposit posting
 
Banner [Summing] [OR] [E3] Perform Scenario Testing

Scenario testing for CBS-1 Deposit and Account Services enables PBCom to move from theoretical resilience planning to practical validation of its capabilities.

By systematically testing each Sub-CBS against realistic disruption scenarios, the bank can identify whether its processes, systems, and people can sustain operations within defined impact tolerances.

In line with Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas expectations, these tests must be regular, evolving, and integrated into continuous improvement cycles.

The inclusion of cyber and ICT risks across all scenarios ensures that PBCom is prepared for modern, complex disruptions.

Ultimately, effective scenario testing strengthens the bank’s ability to protect customers, maintain trust, and ensure continuity of essential banking services under extreme conditions.

 

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