---
title: [OR] [P2] [S4] [ST] [C8] Mapping Dependencies for Scenario Testing
description: [OR] [P2] [S4] [ST] [C8] Mapping Dependencies for Scenario Testing
image: https://blog.bcm-institute.org/hubfs/OR%20Conducting%20Scenario%20Testing%20P2%20Morepost/%5BOR%5D%20%5BP2%5D%20%5BS4%5D%20%5BST%5D%20%5BC8%5D%20Mapping%20Dependencies%20for%20Scenario%20Testing.jpg
---

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###### Conducting Scenario Testing: A Practical Guide for Operational Resilience Implementation

![OR BB P2S4_ST_08](https://blog.bcm-institute.org/hs-fs/hubfs/OR%20Implement%20Series%20BB_Pic/OR%20BB%20P2S4_ST_08.jpg?width=2000&height=1333&name=OR%20BB%20P2S4_ST_08.jpg "OR BB P2S4_ST_08")

# \[OR\] \[P2\] \[S4\] \[ST\] \[C8\] Mapping Dependencies for Scenario Testing

[![Banner \[OR\] \[P2\] \[S4\] Conducting Scenario Testing](https://no-cache.hubspot.com/cta/default/3893111/a8ba87ed-c76c-4e8f-b4fa-4eb3aed30b67.png)](https://cta-redirect.hubspot.com/cta/redirect/3893111/a8ba87ed-c76c-4e8f-b4fa-4eb3aed30b67)

Operational resilience is fundamentally dependent on the **interconnected network of people, processes, technology, and third parties** that enable the delivery of Critical Business Services (CBS).

Scenario testing that does not adequately reflect these interdependencies risks becoming overly simplistic and failing to identify real vulnerabilities.

Dependency mapping, conducted in earlier stages of the operational resilience methodology, provides the **foundation for realistic and effective scenario testing**.

It reveals how services are delivered end-to-end and how disruptions can propagate across the organisation and its ecosystem.

This chapter focuses on how dependency mapping outputs should be leveraged to design, execute, and evaluate scenario testing in a way that reflects **true operational complexity**.

[![New call-to-action](https://no-cache.hubspot.com/cta/default/3893111/9589a5fd-463e-499e-a6db-cb1d11448796.png)](https://cta-redirect.hubspot.com/cta/redirect/3893111/9589a5fd-463e-499e-a6db-cb1d11448796)

[Moh Heng Goh](https://blog.bcm-institute.org/ebook-or/author/moh-heng-goh) May 11, 2026

###### Operational Resilience Certified Planner-Specialist-Expert

### [![Scenario Testing](https://no-cache.hubspot.com/cta/default/3893111/58ea4ab9-998a-451c-bb54-801ae4cb782d.png)](https://cta-redirect.hubspot.com/cta/redirect/3893111/58ea4ab9-998a-451c-bb54-801ae4cb782d)

### \[P2\] \[S4\] Chapter 8

### [![Banner \[OR\] \[P2\] \[S4\] Conducting Scenario Testing](https://no-cache.hubspot.com/cta/default/3893111/a8ba87ed-c76c-4e8f-b4fa-4eb3aed30b67.png)](https://cta-redirect.hubspot.com/cta/redirect/3893111/a8ba87ed-c76c-4e8f-b4fa-4eb3aed30b67)Mapping Dependencies for Scenario Testing

#### **Introduction**

[![\[OR\] \[P2\] \[S4\] \[ST\] \[C8\] Mapping Dependencies for Scenario Testing](https://no-cache.hubspot.com/cta/default/3893111/3934df2c-a632-4331-809e-62f4ac791efd.png)](https://cta-redirect.hubspot.com/cta/redirect/3893111/3934df2c-a632-4331-809e-62f4ac791efd)

![0201 Traceability Trace Audit Validation](https://blog.bcm-institute.org/hs-fs/hubfs/OR%20Implement%20Series%20BB_Pic/OR%20Implement%20Series%20%5BP2%5D%20%5BS4%5D%20%5BPictures%5D/0201%20Traceability%20Trace%20Audit%20Validation.png?width=230&height=345&name=0201%20Traceability%20Trace%20Audit%20Validation.png)Operational resilience is fundamentally dependent on the **interconnected network of people, processes, technology, and third parties** that enable the delivery of Critical Business Services (CBS).

Scenario testing that does not adequately reflect these interdependencies risks becoming overly simplistic and failing to identify real vulnerabilities.

Dependency mapping, conducted in earlier stages of the operational resilience methodology, provides the **foundation for realistic and effective scenario testing**.

It reveals how services are delivered end-to-end and how disruptions can propagate across the organisation and its ecosystem.

This chapter focuses on how dependency mapping outputs should be leveraged to design, execute, and evaluate scenario testing in a way that reflects **true operational complexity**.

#### **Purpose of the Chapter**

The purpose of this chapter is to demonstrate how dependency mapping should be used to ensure that scenario testing accurately reflects real-world interconnections, identifies critical vulnerabilities, and tests the resilience of end-to-end service delivery.

#### **Use of Mapping Outputs (People, Process, Technology, Third Parties)**

Dependency mapping provides a structured view of all components supporting a CBS. These outputs are essential inputs for scenario design.

##### **Key Dependency Categories**

**1.1 People**

- Key operational staff and subject matter experts
- Decision-makers and crisis management teams
- Skills and knowledge dependencies

**Scenario Application:**

- Simulate staff unavailability (e.g., pandemic, attrition, access restrictions)
- Test decision-making under constrained resources

**1.2 Processes**

- Operational workflows and procedures
- Manual and automated activities
- Process handoffs and dependencies

**Scenario Application:**

- Disrupt critical process steps
- Introduce delays or failures in workflow execution
- Test the effectiveness of manual workarounds

**1.3 Technology**

- Applications and systems supporting CBS
- Infrastructure (servers, networks, cloud platforms)
- Data flows and integrations

**Scenario Application:**

- Simulate system outages or degradation
- Test failover and recovery mechanisms
- Assess data integrity and system resilience

**1.4 Third Parties**

- Vendors and service providers
- Outsourced functions
- External networks and utilities

**Scenario Application:**

- Simulate vendor outages or service degradation
- Test reliance on external providers
- Evaluate contractual and operational resilience

##### **Outcome**

By using mapping outputs, scenarios become:

- **Realistic and data-driven**
- **Aligned with actual service delivery structures**
- **Capable of testing end-to-end resilience**

#### **Identifying Critical Dependencies and Concentration Risks**

Not all dependencies are equal. Scenario testing must prioritise those that are **critical to the delivery of CBS**.

##### **Critical Dependencies**

These are components whose failure would:

- Directly disrupt CBS delivery
- Cause impact tolerance breaches
- Trigger cascading failures

Examples:

- Core banking systems
- Payment processing engines
- Key operational teams
- Critical third-party providers

##### **Concentration Risks**

Concentration risk arises when:

- Multiple CBS rely on a single dependency
- There is over-reliance on a single vendor, system, or team
- Limited redundancy or alternatives exist

Examples:

- Single cloud service provider supporting multiple systems
- One vendor handling all payment processing
- Centralised operations team supporting multiple CBS

##### **Scenario Testing Implications**

- Design scenarios that **target critical dependencies**
- Simulate the failure of highly concentrated resources
- Assess whether alternative arrangements are effective

This enables organisations to:

- Identify single points of failure
- Evaluate the resilience of high-risk dependencies
- Prioritise remediation and diversification strategies

#### **Testing Upstream and Downstream Impacts**

Operational resilience requires understanding how disruptions **propagate across the service delivery chain**.

##### **Upstream Dependencies**

These are inputs required for CBS delivery.

Examples:

- Data inputs from upstream systems
- Third-party services feeding into operations
- Pre-processing activities

**Testing Focus:**

- What happens when upstream inputs are unavailable or delayed?
- Can the CBS continue operating with degraded inputs?

##### **Downstream Dependencies**

These are outputs or services that depend on the CBS.

Examples:

- Customer-facing channels
- Reporting and regulatory submissions
- Settlement and reconciliation processes

**Testing Focus:**

- How does CBS disruption affect downstream services?
- Are there cascading impacts across business units?

##### **End-to-End Impact Assessment**

Scenario testing should:

- Trace disruption from **origin to final impact**
- Evaluate how failures cascade across upstream and downstream components
- Assess whether containment measures are effective

This ensures that testing reflects **real operational dynamics**, rather than isolated events.

#### **Visualising Interconnections for Scenario Design**

Complex interdependencies are often difficult to understand without a visual representation.

Visualisation tools play a critical role in scenario development.

##### **Types of Visualisation**

- **Dependency Maps**:  
  Show relationships between CBS and supporting components
- **Process Flow Diagrams**:  
  Illustrate step-by-step workflows
- **Network Diagrams**:  
  Highlight technology and system interconnections
- **Ecosystem Maps**:  
  Display third-party and external dependencies

##### **Benefits of Visualisation**

- Enhances understanding of complex relationships
- Identifies critical paths and bottlenecks
- Highlights concentration risks and interdependencies
- Supports scenario design and stakeholder communication

##### **Application in Scenario Testing**

Visualisation enables organisations to:

- Design scenarios that reflect **realistic disruption pathways**
- Identify where to introduce scenario “injects.”
- Communicate scenarios effectively to participants
- Analyse cascading effects during and after testing

#### **Practical Dependency Mapping Table for Scenario Testing**

The following table illustrates how dependency mapping can be structured and used in scenario testing:

| Sub-CBS Code | Sub-CBS | Dependency Type | Dependency Detail | Connectivity |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2.1 | Payment Initiation | Technology | Online banking system | Connects to the authentication system |
| 2.2 | Authentication | Process/Technology | OTP verification process | Linked to the customer database |
| 2.3 | Payment Processing | Technology | Core payment engine | Interfaces with the clearing network |
| 2.4 | Settlement | Third Party | External clearing network | Connected to the central bank system |
| 2.5 | Reconciliation | Process | Transaction reconciliation workflow | Dependent on settlement data |

This table:

- Provides a **structured view of dependencies**
- Supports identification of critical components
- Enables targeted scenario design

[![Banner \[Summing\] \[OR\] \[E3\] Perform Scenario Testing](https://no-cache.hubspot.com/cta/default/3893111/11895c06-91e9-4cec-acb6-4356741952e4.png)](https://cta-redirect.hubspot.com/cta/redirect/3893111/11895c06-91e9-4cec-acb6-4356741952e4)

Mapping dependencies is a critical enabler of effective scenario testing.

It ensures that scenarios reflect the **true complexity of service delivery**, capturing the intricate interconnections between people, processes, technology, and third parties.

By leveraging mapping outputs, organisations can:

- Identify critical dependencies and concentration risks
- Test upstream and downstream impacts
- Design realistic scenarios with cascading effects
- Visualise and understand complex interdependencies

Ultimately, dependency mapping transforms scenario testing from a theoretical exercise into a **comprehensive, end-to-end validation of operational resilience**, ensuring that organisations are prepared to manage disruptions in a complex and interconnected environment.

[![New call-to-action](https://no-cache.hubspot.com/cta/default/3893111/528ff540-9963-430c-9ca6-c102ce4270df.png)](https://cta-redirect.hubspot.com/cta/redirect/3893111/528ff540-9963-430c-9ca6-c102ce4270df)

| **C1** | **C2** | **C3** | **C4** | **C5** |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [![\[OR\] \[P2\] \[S4\] \[ST\] \[C1\] Introduction to Scenario Testing](https://no-cache.hubspot.com/cta/default/3893111/910c0230-708f-4661-a87e-56cb7cbd2b37.png)](https://cta-redirect.hubspot.com/cta/redirect/3893111/910c0230-708f-4661-a87e-56cb7cbd2b37) | [![\[OR\] \[P2\] \[S4\] \[ST\] \[C2\] Regulatory and Standards Context](https://no-cache.hubspot.com/cta/default/3893111/e21c745f-5f7c-4c8b-b845-7a8712b2a67d.png)](https://cta-redirect.hubspot.com/cta/redirect/3893111/e21c745f-5f7c-4c8b-b845-7a8712b2a67d) | [![\[OR\] \[P2\] \[S4\] \[ST\] \[C3\] Objectives of Scenario Testing](https://no-cache.hubspot.com/cta/default/3893111/d2eb2181-1303-4ca7-89a2-d717dc5e972f.png)](https://cta-redirect.hubspot.com/cta/redirect/3893111/d2eb2181-1303-4ca7-89a2-d717dc5e972f) | [![\[OR\] \[P2\] \[S4\] \[ST\] \[C4\] Scenario Testing within the Operational Resilience Framework](https://no-cache.hubspot.com/cta/default/3893111/c7c5fe26-c69a-4176-be52-c7ba8939ca8c.png)](https://cta-redirect.hubspot.com/cta/redirect/3893111/c7c5fe26-c69a-4176-be52-c7ba8939ca8c) | [![\[OR\] \[P2\] \[S4\] \[ST\] \[C5\] Types of Scenario Testing](https://no-cache.hubspot.com/cta/default/3893111/3756e6ec-bf7e-462f-9f8c-52d15f718c81.png)](https://cta-redirect.hubspot.com/cta/redirect/3893111/3756e6ec-bf7e-462f-9f8c-52d15f718c81) |
| **C6** | **C7** | **C8** | **C9** | **C10** |
| [![\[OR\] \[P2\] \[S4\] \[ST\] \[C6\] Designing Severe but Plausible Scenarios](https://no-cache.hubspot.com/cta/default/3893111/07cc13e4-e1eb-4bb4-b257-d155b9a30cd4.png)](https://cta-redirect.hubspot.com/cta/redirect/3893111/07cc13e4-e1eb-4bb4-b257-d155b9a30cd4) | [![\[OR\] \[P2\] \[S4\] \[ST\] \[C7\] Scenario Development Framework](https://no-cache.hubspot.com/cta/default/3893111/1976475f-5469-473c-a441-cb8c05247055.png)](https://cta-redirect.hubspot.com/cta/redirect/3893111/1976475f-5469-473c-a441-cb8c05247055) | [![\[OR\] \[P2\] \[S4\] \[ST\] \[C8\] Mapping Dependencies for Scenario Testing](https://no-cache.hubspot.com/cta/default/3893111/3934df2c-a632-4331-809e-62f4ac791efd.png)](https://cta-redirect.hubspot.com/cta/redirect/3893111/3934df2c-a632-4331-809e-62f4ac791efd) | [![\[OR\] \[P2\] \[S4\] \[ST\] \[C9\] Setting Testing Scope and Boundaries](https://no-cache.hubspot.com/cta/default/3893111/0ff8be42-fbfa-4777-880d-855094a0def4.png)](https://cta-redirect.hubspot.com/cta/redirect/3893111/0ff8be42-fbfa-4777-880d-855094a0def4) | [![\[OR\] \[P2\] \[S4\] \[ST\] \[C10\] Executing Scenario Testing](https://no-cache.hubspot.com/cta/default/3893111/b68def17-a3fd-412a-9a11-3e55c24c51f9.png)](https://cta-redirect.hubspot.com/cta/redirect/3893111/b68def17-a3fd-412a-9a11-3e55c24c51f9) |
| **C11** | **C12** | **C13** | **C14** | **C15** |
| [![\[OR\] \[P2\] \[S4\] \[ST\] \[C11\] Metrics and Evaluation of Results](https://no-cache.hubspot.com/cta/default/3893111/ca1ee7cd-3a0b-4460-8ed2-90b89f2d2761.png)](https://cta-redirect.hubspot.com/cta/redirect/3893111/ca1ee7cd-3a0b-4460-8ed2-90b89f2d2761) | [![\[OR\] \[P2\] \[S4\] \[ST\] \[C12\] Scenario Testing Output and Reporting](https://no-cache.hubspot.com/cta/default/3893111/36ab22b4-9316-413d-ab9c-5d945f6009b2.png)](https://cta-redirect.hubspot.com/cta/redirect/3893111/36ab22b4-9316-413d-ab9c-5d945f6009b2) | [![\[OR\] \[P2\] \[S4\] \[ST\] \[C13\] Common Challenges and Pitfalls](https://no-cache.hubspot.com/cta/default/3893111/9fb81eaf-a3eb-4192-b607-48c6ac3277da.png)](https://cta-redirect.hubspot.com/cta/redirect/3893111/9fb81eaf-a3eb-4192-b607-48c6ac3277da) | [![\[OR\] \[P2\] \[S4\] \[ST\] \[C14\] Overcoming Challenges in Scenario Testing](https://no-cache.hubspot.com/cta/default/3893111/f9660d67-9e43-45fe-a52d-4c9ca2812c83.png)](https://cta-redirect.hubspot.com/cta/redirect/3893111/f9660d67-9e43-45fe-a52d-4c9ca2812c83) | [![\[OR\] \[P2\] \[S4\] \[ST\] \[C15\] Integrating Scenario Testing with Risk Management and BCM](https://no-cache.hubspot.com/cta/default/3893111/2334c95f-f874-4b14-b348-779c63730269.png)](https://cta-redirect.hubspot.com/cta/redirect/3893111/2334c95f-f874-4b14-b348-779c63730269) |
| **C16** | **C17** | **C18** | **C19** | **C20** |
| [![\[OR\] \[P2\] \[S4\] \[ST\] \[C16\] Continuous Improvement and Lessons Learned](https://no-cache.hubspot.com/cta/default/3893111/62af1507-9de8-42d4-b519-adc3e945a7f3.png)](https://cta-redirect.hubspot.com/cta/redirect/3893111/62af1507-9de8-42d4-b519-adc3e945a7f3) | [![\[OR\] \[P2\] \[S4\] \[ST\] \[C17\] Practical Case Study (Banking Sector Example)](https://no-cache.hubspot.com/cta/default/3893111/fed5643b-1564-4177-a2d9-7fc4f4049a5c.png)](https://cta-redirect.hubspot.com/cta/redirect/3893111/fed5643b-1564-4177-a2d9-7fc4f4049a5c) | [![\[OR\] \[P2\] \[S4\] \[ST\] \[C18\] Future Trends in Scenario Testing](https://no-cache.hubspot.com/cta/default/3893111/c0547827-8e71-4c91-8c44-b4d2d2b81526.png)](https://cta-redirect.hubspot.com/cta/redirect/3893111/c0547827-8e71-4c91-8c44-b4d2d2b81526) | [![\[OR\] \[P2\] \[S4\] \[ST\] \[C19\] Key Takeaways and Call to Action](https://no-cache.hubspot.com/cta/default/3893111/8d431102-ed70-4707-ac87-e750e4db29de.png)](https://cta-redirect.hubspot.com/cta/redirect/3893111/8d431102-ed70-4707-ac87-e750e4db29de) | [![\[OR\] \[P2\] \[S4\] \[ST\] \[C20\] Back Cover](https://no-cache.hubspot.com/cta/default/3893111/fbb82511-9fd7-4ed9-aaa9-dc8aad0ea177.png)](https://cta-redirect.hubspot.com/cta/redirect/3893111/fbb82511-9fd7-4ed9-aaa9-dc8aad0ea177) |

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