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[OR] [BI] [E3] [CBS] [4] [SuPS] Identify Severe but Plausible Scenarios

Written by Moh Heng Goh | Feb 20, 2026 2:53:13 AM

CBS-4 SME and Corporate Financing Services

Introduction

This chapter identifies and analyses Severe but Plausible Scenarios (SPS) for CBS-4 SME and Corporate Financing Services at Bank Islam. The objective is to examine hypothetical yet credible disruptions that could severely impact critical processes within SME and corporate financing.

These scenarios are designed to stress-test operational resilience, highlight vulnerabilities, and inform proactive risk management measures, aligning with guidance from the 2025 BNM Discussion Paper on Operational Resilience and best practices in scenario-based planning.

Table P5: Identify Severe but Plausible Scenarios for CBS-4

Sub-CBS Code

Sub-CBS

Severe but Plausible Scenario

Impact/Effect

Proactive Risk Management Action

Link to Integration of Cyber and ICT Risks

4.1

Customer Onboarding and Financing Application Initiation

System-wide onboarding portal outage

Delays in application processing; customer dissatisfaction

Multi-channel application options; failover servers; staff manual workaround

High reliance on ICT; implement cyber resilience testing for the portal

4.2

Credit Assessment and Risk Evaluation

Data breach of credit scoring systems

Exposure of sensitive customer data; reputational damage

Regular penetration testing, encryption, access controls, and staff training

Integrate cyber risk assessment in the credit system workflow

4.3

Credit Approval and Governance

Key approvers are unavailable due to the pandemic

Delayed approvals; missed financing opportunities

Cross-training; delegation protocols; digital approval workflows

Digital signature and access controls to secure approval system

4.4

Financing, Structuring, and Documentation

Document management system corruption

Loss or delay in contract preparation

Regular backups, document verification, and dual-system storage

Use secure cloud-based document storage with ICT monitoring

4.5

Facility Setup and Limit Activation

Core banking system downtime

Limits not activated; financing not available

Redundant system setup; routine system maintenance; manual fallback

Integrate ICT system health monitoring and alerting

4.6

Financing Disbursement and Payment Execution

Payment gateway cyberattack

Failed disbursements; liquidity disruption

Transaction monitoring, fraud detection, and offline payment contingency

Cyber threat intelligence integration with payments system

4.7

Trade and Working Capital Financing Processing

Trade finance document processing error

Payment delays; supply chain disruption

Automated reconciliation; staff double-check; exception handling

ICT systems redundancy; secure file transfer protocols

4.8

Financing Account Maintenance and Servicing

Unauthorized access to customer accounts

Fraudulent transactions; regulatory breaches

Strong authentication, audit logs, and real-time monitoring

Cybersecurity incident response plan linked to account systems

4.9

Collateral and Security Management

Physical collateral loss or mismanagement

Loss of asset value; recovery challenges

Offsite collateral storage; digital recording; audit trail

Integrate the collateral management system with ICT security protocols

4.10

Monitoring, Early Warning, and Portfolio Management

Risk monitoring dashboard failure

Delayed detection of portfolio deterioration

Redundant dashboards; alternative reporting; scenario simulation

Ensure the cyber resilience of monitoring platforms

4.11

Recovery, Remedial, and Legal Management

Legal case backlog due to system outage

Delayed recovery actions; increased non-performing loans

Case tracking software; prioritization protocols

ICT risk management integrated with recovery workflows

4.12

Regulatory Reporting and Shariah Governance Oversight

Data integrity failure in the reporting system

Incorrect regulatory submissions; compliance breach

Data validation; automated report generation; reconciliation

ICT system audits; cyber risk monitoring in reporting

 

By identifying Severe but Plausible Scenarios for CBS-4 SME and Corporate Financing Services, Bank Islam enhances its operational resilience and preparedness. These scenarios allow the bank to proactively test its systems, processes, and workforce readiness, ensuring continuity of services under extreme but realistic conditions. Integrating cyber and ICT risk management into these scenarios further strengthens the bank’s ability to safeguard customer trust, maintain regulatory compliance, and preserve financial stability.

 

Implementing Operational Resilience for Bank Islam: Aligning with BNM and Global Best Practices

eBook 3: Starting Your OR Implementation
CBS-4 SME and Corporate Financing Services
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Gain Competency: For organisations looking to accelerate their journey, BCM Institute’s training and certification programs, including the OR-5000 Operational Resilience Expert Implementer course, provide in-depth insights and practical toolkits for effectively embedding this model.

 

 

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