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[OR] [BI] [E3] [CBS] [1] [SuPS] Identify Severe but Plausible Scenarios

Written by Moh Heng Goh | Feb 10, 2026 2:16:48 AM

CBS-1 Deposit, Savings, and Current Account Services 

Introduction

Identifying Severe but Plausible Scenarios is a critical step in strengthening the operational resilience of CBS-1 Deposit and Withdrawal Services for Bank Islam. 

These scenarios go beyond routine incidents and focus on high-impact disruptions that could realistically occur,  potentially threatening customer access to funds, financial stability, and regulatory compliance. 

In line with operational resilience guidance and the BCM Institute perspective, this chapter examines how extreme yet credible events could disrupt key deposit and withdrawal processes, while highlighting proactive measures Bank Islam can take to remain within impact tolerance during such disruptions.

Table P5: Identify Severe but Plausible Scenarios for CBS-1 

Sub-CBS Code

Sub-CBS

Severe but Plausible Scenario

Impact / Effect

Proactive Risk Management Action

Link to Integration of Cyber and ICT Risks

1.1

Cash Deposit at Branches

Widespread branch system outage caused by a core banking interface failure during peak business hours

Inability to accept cash deposits; customer dissatisfaction; liquidity recording delays

Manual fallback deposit procedures, branch-level contingency processes, and staff training for offline operations

Core banking system resilience, endpoint availability, ICT change management controls

1.2

Deposit via ATMs

ATM network disruption due to telecom provider outage combined with malware propagation

Customers unable to deposit cash; accumulation of unprocessed deposits

Dual telecom routing, ATM malware detection, regular ATM OS patching

ATM network security, telecom dependency management, cyber monitoring tools

1.3

Online / Internet Banking Deposits

Distributed Denial-of-Service (DDoS) attack coinciding with high transaction volume periods

Digital deposit services unavailable; reputational damage

DDoS mitigation services, traffic throttling, alternative digital channels

Cyber defence architecture, cloud scalability, SOC monitoring

1.4

Cash Withdrawal at Branches

Physical branch closure due to public safety incident or civil unrest

Customers unable to withdraw cash from affected locations

Business continuity site activation, customer redirection to nearby branches/ATMs

Physical security systems, branch ICT redundancy

1.5

ATM Withdrawals

Simultaneous ATM cash-out events caused by coordinated fraud and delayed cash replenishment

Cash unavailability; increased customer complaints

Predictive cash-replenishment analytics, real-time fraud alerts

Fraud analytics systems, ATM transaction monitoring, ICT data integrity

1.6

Online / Internet Banking Withdrawals

Core banking transaction processing latency due to failed system upgrade

Delayed or failed withdrawals; potential duplicate transactions

Change management controls, rollback procedures, pre-deployment testing

ICT change governance, system integration testing, application performance monitoring

1.7

Failed Deposits or Withdrawals

Transaction reconciliation failure following partial system recovery after outage

Customer balances inaccurate; regulatory and Shariah compliance risk

Automated reconciliation tools, customer communication protocols

Data integrity controls, backup and recovery systems

1.8

Fraud Detection and Prevention

AI-based fraud detection engine disabled by corrupted data feed

Undetected fraudulent withdrawals and deposits

Data validation checkpoints, manual fraud review escalation

Cyber data governance, secure data pipelines, ICT resilience of analytics platforms

 

The identification of Severe but Plausible Scenarios for CBS-1 Deposit and Withdrawal Services enables Bank Islam to better understand how extreme disruptions—particularly those involving Cyber and ICT risks—could affect customer access to essential financial services. 

By mapping these scenarios to proactive risk management actions, the bank demonstrates a forward-looking approach to operational resilience, ensuring preparedness not only to prevent disruption but to adapt, respond, and recover within acceptable impact tolerances. 

This structured scenario analysis forms a strong foundation for subsequent testing, investment prioritisation, and continuous improvement of Bank Islam’s resilience capabilities.

 

Implementing Operational Resilience for Bank Islam: Aligning with BNM and Global Best Practices

eBook 3: Starting Your OR Implementation
CBS-1 Deposit, Savings, and Current Account Services
CBS-1 DP CBS-1 MD CBS-1 MPR CBS-1 ITo CBS-1 SuPS CBS-1 ST

Gain Competency: For organisations looking to accelerate their journey, BCM Institute’s training and certification programs, including the OR-5000 Operational Resilience Expert Implementer course, provide in-depth insights and practical toolkits for effectively embedding this model.

 

 

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