---
title: "Assessing Your Risk: Descriptor for Risk Likelihood"
description: "The New BCM Manager [BC | CM | CC | ITDR]: Assessing Your Risk: Descriptor for Risk Likelihood"
image: https://blog.bcm-institute.org/hubfs/Risk%20Descriptor%20Morepost/IC_Risk%20Descriptor-Risk%20Likelihood.png
---

[![BCMIWhiteLogo.png](https://blog.bcm-institute.org/hs-fs/hubfs/Blog%20Testing/BCMIWhiteLogo.png?width=556&name=BCMIWhiteLogo.png "BCMIWhiteLogo.png")](http://www.bcm-institute.org/)

- [Home](https://www.bcm-institute.org/)
- [About Us](https://www.bcm-institute.org/about-us-3/) 
    - [A President’s Perspective](https://www.bcm-institute.org/about-us/a-presidents-perspective/)
    - [Our History](https://www.bcm-institute.org/about-us/our-history/)
    - [Our Advisory Council](https://www.bcm-institute.org/about-us/our-advisory-council/)
    - [Customers’ Testimonials](https://www.bcm-institute.org/about-us/customers-testimonials/)
    - [Credential Verification](https://www.bcm-institute.org/about-us/credential-verification/)
- [Courses](https://blog.bcm-institute.org/blog/course-fees-for-blended-learning-courses-master-catalog) 
    - [ISO 22301 Business Continuity Management System Audit](https://blog.bcm-institute.org/audit/business-continuity-management-audit-courses)
    - [ISO 22301 Business Continuity Management](https://blog.bcm-institute.org/bcm/business-continuity-management-courses)
    - [Crisis Communication](https://blog.bcm-institute.org/crisis-communication/crisis-communication-courses)
    - [Crisis Management](https://blog.bcm-institute.org/en/crisis-management/courses)
    - [IT Disaster Recovery](https://blog.bcm-institute.org/it-disaster-recovery/courses)
    - [Operational Resilience](https://blog.bcm-institute.org/operational-resilience/courses)
    - [Operational Resilience Audit](https://blog.bcm-institute.org/operational-resilience-audit/courses)
- [Certification](https://blog.bcm-institute.org/certification/types-of-certifications-offered) 
    - [ISO 22301 BCMS Audit Certification](https://blog.bcm-institute.org/certification/business-continuity-management-audit-certification)
    - [ISO22301 Business Continuity Management Certification](https://blog.bcm-institute.org/bcm/business-continuity-management-certification)
    - [Crisis Communication Certification](https://blog.bcm-institute.org/crisis-communication/crisis-communication-certification)
    - [Crisis Management Certification](https://blog.bcm-institute.org/en/crisis-management/crisis-management-certification)
    - [IT Disaster Recovery Planning Certification](https://blog.bcm-institute.org/it-disaster-recovery/it-disaster-recovery-certification)
    - [Operational Resilience Certification](https://blog.bcm-institute.org/operational-resilience/operational-resilience-certification)
    - [Operational Resilience Audit Certification](https://blog.bcm-institute.org/operational-resilience-audit)
- [Seminars](https://blog.bcm-institute.org/meet-the-expert/mte-webinar-mainpage)
- [Store](https://www.bcm-institute.org/store-2/)
- [Contact Us](http://www.bcm-institute.org/about-us/contact-us/)

- <https://www.facebook.com/BCMInstitute/>
- <https://www.linkedin.com/company/business-continuity-management-institute-bcm-institute>

##### Training-led Implementation Series

![BCM Ai Gen_with Cert Logo_4](https://blog.bcm-institute.org/hs-fs/hubfs/BB%20BCM%20%5BAi%20Gen%20Blog%20Photo%5D/BCM%20Ai%20Gen_with%20Cert%20Logo_4.jpg?width=2000&height=1333&name=BCM%20Ai%20Gen_with%20Cert%20Logo_4.jpg "BCM Ai Gen_with Cert Logo_4")

# Assessing Your Risk: Descriptor for Risk Likelihood

This blog explains "Risk Likelihood" as part of the Risk Analysis and Review phase. 

It is meant to assist participants to have an understanding of this concept during their respective RAR assignments.

[Moh Heng Goh](https://blog.bcm-institute.org/bcm-planning-methodology/author/moh-heng-goh) Dec 5, 2021

### [![BCM Planning Methodology](https://no-cache.hubspot.com/cta/default/3893111/065689b0-d471-49e6-9981-ad108771ca1a.png)](https://cta-redirect.hubspot.com/cta/redirect/3893111/065689b0-d471-49e6-9981-ad108771ca1a)[![Descriptor Risk Likelihood](https://no-cache.hubspot.com/cta/default/3893111/d2bd24a1-a102-4c8f-8959-b30d00d6a017.png)](https://cta-redirect.hubspot.com/cta/redirect/3893111/d2bd24a1-a102-4c8f-8959-b30d00d6a017)Descriptor for Risk Likelihood

In the BCM Institute, this phase in the planning methodology, when applied to Business Continuity (BC), is "Risk Analysis and Review." 

[![BCMPedia Risk Likelihood](https://no-cache.hubspot.com/cta/default/3893111/881ea426-a0b1-45f3-b6eb-b57e0e9a870f.png)](https://cta-redirect.hubspot.com/cta/redirect/3893111/881ea426-a0b1-45f3-b6eb-b57e0e9a870f)While, when it is applied to the Crisis Management (CM) and Crisis Communication (CC) planning process, it is called "**Crisis Risk Assessment"** and for IT Disaster Recovery, it is called "IT RAR."

When you are going in-depth into the various disciplines of BCM, CM, CC and ITDR.

This blog explains "Risk Likelihood".  It is meant to assist participants in understanding this concept during their respective RAR assignments.

![Threats and Risk Rating](https://blog.bcm-institute.org/hs-fs/hubfs/PM-2%20Risk%20Analysis%20and%20Review/Threats%20and%20Risk%20Rating.png?width=267&name=Threats%20and%20Risk%20Rating.png)

| #### **Risk Likelihood** |
| --- |

The probability of the threat occurring. This is relative to the organisation’s operating environment and rated on a scale of 1 to 5.  Each scale has a descriptor.

- 1 = Very Low
- 2 = Low
- 3 = Medium
- 4 = High
- 5 = Very High

 Risk Likelihood scoring scale follows a 1 (Very Low or Rare) to 5 (Very High or Almost Certain) scale.

The detailed likelihood breakdown is shown below.

[![New call-to-action](https://no-cache.hubspot.com/cta/default/3893111/c73b3444-7399-418d-868d-c0e062cc21e5.png)](https://cta-redirect.hubspot.com/cta/redirect/3893111/c73b3444-7399-418d-868d-c0e062cc21e5)

#### Learn More About Business Continuity Management (BC-CM-CC-ITDR)

You may want to know more about our courses.

 

|   | [![\[BL-5-Catalog\] What Expert Level Blended Learning Courses that are Available?](https://no-cache.hubspot.com/cta/default/3893111/fe175db3-7f57-4636-bf09-e9a836aa5478.png)](https://cta-redirect.hubspot.com/cta/redirect/3893111/fe175db3-7f57-4636-bf09-e9a836aa5478) | [![\[BL-3-Catalog\] What Specialist Level Blended Learning Courses that are Available?](https://no-cache.hubspot.com/cta/default/3893111/4b22a53c-6e3e-4b9e-8c2a-888423f1d26c.png)](https://cta-redirect.hubspot.com/cta/redirect/3893111/4b22a53c-6e3e-4b9e-8c2a-888423f1d26c) |   |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

---

#### **Your Comments**

### More Posts

[![New Call-to-action](https://no-cache.hubspot.com/cta/default/3893111/04334171-099a-49e5-becc-c8c082c7947f.png)](https://cta-redirect.hubspot.com/cta/redirect/3893111/04334171-099a-49e5-becc-c8c082c7947f)

![BCMIWhiteLogoSmall.png](https://blog.bcm-institute.org/hs-fs/hubfs/Blog%20Testing/BCMIWhiteLogoSmall.png?width=72&name=BCMIWhiteLogoSmall.png "BCMIWhiteLogoSmall.png")

All rights reserved. Copyright 2026